ZOU Gao-lu. Short-and Long-Term Effects of the Construction Industry on the Economy Growth[J]. Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2005, 27(5): 117-122.
ZOU Gao-lu. Short-and Long-Term Effects of the Construction Industry on the Economy Growth[J]. Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 2005, 27(5): 117-122. DOI: 10.11835/j.issn.1674-4764.2005.05.027.
The construction industry could be developed as a pillar industry of the national economy
since it has a strong pulling role in economic growth.However
little definite empirical evidence supports this argument.Using co-integration and Granger causality tests and error-correction model with taking Sichuan for an example
this article studies both short-term and long-term effects of the construction industry on the economy growth.Empirical tests show that in the long term the economy maintained equilibrium relations with the construction industry.A growth in the construction industry will lead to the economic growth;however the pulling role of the construction industry on the economy is limited.A growth in the construction industry will not predict economic growth in the short run.Thus
for Sichuan case the government is unable to stimulate the economy by focusing on development of the construction industry in the short run.Instead
in order to promote long-term development of the national economy it could implement stable and healthy development policies for the construction industry.